Vladimir Putin has made no secret of his desire to invade Ukraine. However, Russia has been facing a series of miscalculations that are forcing it to either churn out or import new munitions. These include a lack of ammunition in the Russian economy, the withdrawal of Russia from the International Criminal Court, and the invasion of Ukraine.
invasion of Ukraine
During the invasion of Ukraine during the Vladimir Putin’Russiania war, thousands of civilians fled from their homes to flee the advancing Russian troops. The situation in Kyiv and eastern Ukraine is becoming increasingly dire as Russian forces continue to shell cities and bombard civilians.
Ukrainian military forces have been struggling to repel the Russian invaders. Their efforts have led to devastating Russian losses. Some reports say the Russian army has lost over half of the territory it has seized.
Russia has sent artillery and airstrikes against strategic targets in the east. These include airports, water reservoirs, and bridges. Western artillery has taken its toll on logistics hubs and Russian arms depots in the region.
The Ukrainian military has been hampered by its inability to maneuver and attack. Many experts believe the war will only get worse.
On February 24, 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border of Ukraine. They had taken control of parts of Crimea. President Putin also claimed to be protecting the people of Ukraine from NATO’s aggression.
It’s been two months since Russian President Vladimir Putin launched an invasion of Ukraine. Since then, the resulting military conflict has produced a series of miscalculations by the Kremlin. These misjudgments have caused enormous damage on the battlefield. Despite the heavy toll of casualties and the damage to Ukraine’s infrastructure, Russia’s offensive in Donbas has not gone according to plan.
The war in Ukraine is a classic case of miscalculation. Putin underestimated the resistance of the Ukrainian people, a population that has shown exceptional resilience throughout the war.
Initially, Putin thought he would be able to overpower and isolate the Ukrainian government. He also expected that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy would be forced to flee.
As soon as his troops began to move into the country, Putin assumed they would overwhelm the enemy. But the Ukrainians showed they were not ready to give up their weapons. They were forced to fight and defend their cities, making mincemeat out of the Russians.
Russian economy struggling to churn out or import new munitions
The Russian economy has struggled to churn out or import new munitions to counter the Ukrainian crisis. A recent report on Russian exports suggests that a quarter of the country’s oil and gas production goes to European countries. As it stands, the most significant source of foreign investment in Russia is the state-run conglomerate Gazprom, which is backed by the government.
In the context of Russian gas, a major milestone was achieved when the company secured a long-term supply deal with China. It is not clear when the deal will be finalized, but the prospect of a hefty gas price cut is likely to encourage more Russian consumers to economize. This is not to say that Russia is not putting its own money where its mouth is.
Among other things, the government has implemented a number of cost-cutting measures, such as eliminating dubious bonuses, instituting a two-tiered review process for new business applications, and enacting a ban on the use of state-controlled currency in the production of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Moreover, the state has announced a number of other reforms, including the creation of a national gas pricing board and a revamped licensing system for companies operating in the gas sector.
Russia’s withdrawal from the International Criminal Court
The Russian foreign ministry has said that it is not willing to remain a party to the International Criminal Court (ICC) after the recent decision by President Vladimir Putin to withdraw the country from the court. This decision has raised fears that Russia may now face ICC jurisdiction in Syria.
Several countries, including South Africa, Burundi, and Gambia, have notified the United Nations that they will be leaving the ICC. However, the ICC remains a global court. Countries that withdraw from the ICC are criticized by the court for not being part of the ICC.
The ICC is based in The Hague and is independent from governments. Its jurisdiction includes international crimes such as war crimes, treason, and genocide. It relies on the cooperation of the international community to prevent acts against humanity.
In November, Russia sent a notification to the UN Secretary-General that it would not be joining the ICC. After the announcement, the ICC issued a report stating that Crimea had been occupied and ruling that Russia’s actions could be considered illegal under the Vienna Convention.